28.5% to 43.5%: The On-Chain Signal Behind Iran’s Airspace Probability Shift
The prediction market contract ticked over at 28.5% on July 31. A probability...
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0xPomp
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2026-07-22
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$63,099.6
+0.24%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,857.93
-0.66%
SOL
Solana
$73.01
+0.15%
BNB
BNB Chain
$586.4
+1.44%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.08
+1.39%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0702
+0.04%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1897
+9.34%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.57
+3.16%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.7926
+1.94%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.26
+1.95%
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
💡 Smart Money
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Market Maker
+$4.9M
60%
0x6ef7...8397
Arbitrage Bot
+$0.5M
75%
0xd85c...cedb
Arbitrage Bot
+$2.5M
82%
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27
Fear
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44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,099.6 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,857.93 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$73.01 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$586.4 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.08 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0702 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1897 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.57 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.7926 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.26 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x1735...d846
12h ago
In
3,430.74 BTC
🔴
0xfd53...1e18
12h ago
Out
47,756 SOL
🔵
0x2a80...0c67
6h ago
Stake
2,825.32 BTC